Economic Exposure

Risk Management

Turkish: Ekonomik Maruziyet

Short definition

Economic exposure is the way FX moves competition, demand and long-run cash — future business not yet invoiced. It is not closed with a forward; it is run with pricing, sourcing and market choice.

Detailed explanation

REER is a better competitiveness signal than one pair. Import inputs plus domestic sales squeeze margin when REER appreciates; exporters see the reverse.

A short-dated transaction hedge does not solve this layer. Natural hedges (moving cost currency toward revenue) and pass-through contracts are the real tools. Lagged pass-through, inflation accounting and rival pricing set the elasticity.

Why it matters for the CFO

If the CFO only watches open FX debt, the real value loss is domestic price losing to an imported rival.

How to read it

Economic exposure is long-run FCF sensitivity. It is hard to measure; talk in scenarios (REER, rival price, pass-through), not a single VaR.

Related calculators

Güven Sayılgan’s writing on this topic

Read these first

What to learn next

  1. FX Risk
  2. Natural Hedge
  3. Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)
  4. Transaction Risk
  5. Contribution Margin

Definitions are educational. They are not investment, credit or tax advice.