Turkey FX risk stress test
Measure the impact of a weaker lira on FX position, EBITDA, CFADS and DSCR across base, light, medium, heavy and custom scenarios.
Turkey FX risk stress test
Where does a weaker lira hit your company? Test balance sheet, costs, interest and debt service together.
Results & CFO signal
EBITDA waterfall
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | FX shock | Net FX | EBITDA | CFADS | DSCR | Interest | Risk |
|---|
Currency breakdown
| Currency | Base rate | Stress rate | Net position | Hedged notional | Net TRY impact |
|---|
Methodology
Balance sheet FX ≈ (FX assets − FX liabilities) × rate change + hedge protection. Operating ≈ export gain − import cost + pricing offset − operating hedge. Stress EBITDA ≈ base EBITDA + operating impact. Stress interest ≈ TL interest + FX interest × (1 + effective shock). Stress CFADS ≈ base CFADS + after-tax operating + cautious translation of balance sheet cash − after-tax extra interest. DSCR = stress CFADS / debt service. Hedge uses simplified economic protection (forward + option notional); contract-level MTM may differ.
This tool is for education, financial analysis and scenario work only. Results are not investment advice, independent valuation, audit or risk advisory. Users should support decisions with their own data and professional review.