Credit Risk Premium

Cost of Capital

Turkish: Kredi Risk Primi

Short definition

The credit risk premium is the extra yield lenders require above the risk-free rate for default and expected loss. The observed credit spread embeds this premium and may also carry liquidity and tenor premia.

Detailed explanation

Firm premium must be kept separate from sovereign premium. If local Rf already embeds sovereign default, adding CRP into Kd double-counts. Ratings tabulate the premium; CDS is the market price of the same risk.

A wider spread lifts WACC’s debt leg independently of Ke. In distress, observed YTM also embeds expected loss; that Kd is no longer a promised yield.

Why it matters for the CFO

New loans, bond issues and Kd in WACC come from this premium. When “rates fell but spreads opened”, all-in cost may not fall.

How it is calculated

Kd ≈ Rf + kredi risk primi (+ likidite / vade primi)

Variables in the formula

  • Kd: Pre-tax cost of debt
  • Rf: Risk-free rate (same currency)

How to read it

A 400 bp spread on Rf 20% is a rough Kd near 24%; fees and reserve requirements push all-in up. There is no universal “normal spread”; sector, collateral and the cycle set it.

Numerical example

Rf 22%, credit risk premium 6 percentage points, fees 0 → rough Kd = 28% (pre-tax).

Related calculators

Güven Sayılgan’s writing on this topic

Read these first

What to learn next

  1. Credit Spread
  2. Cost of Debt
  3. Country Risk Premium (CRP)
  4. All-in Cost
  5. Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Definitions are educational. They are not investment, credit or tax advice.